Theory
The 1997 paper "Smallest Enclosing Ellipses -- Fast and Exact" by Gärtner and Schönherr addresses this question. The same authors provide a C++ implementation in their 1998 paper "Smallest Enclosing Ellipses -- An Exact and Generic Implementation in C++". The paper's 150 pages long, but, fortunately for us, the venerable CGAL library implements the algorithm as described here.
However, CGAL only provides the general equation for the ellipse, so some massaging is necessary to convert the general equation to the canonical equation and, from there, to get a parametric equation suitable for plotting.
All this is included in the implementation below.
Using WebPlotDigitizer to extract your data gives:
-2.024226110363392 5.01315585320002
1.9892328398384915 3.0400196291391692
-0.0269179004037694 1.980973446537659
-0.987886944818305 -0.9505049812548929
4.9851951547779265 -1.9398893695943187
Fitting this using the program below gives:
a = 2.47438
b = 5.42919
cx = 0.767976
cy = 0.792924
theta = 0.784877
We can then plot this with gnuplot
set parametric
plot "points" pt 7 ps 2, [0:2*pi] a*cos(t)*cos(theta) - b*sin(t)*sin(theta) + cx, a*cos(t)*sin(theta) + b*sin(t)*cos(theta) +
cy lw 2
to get

Implementation
The code below does this:
// Compile with clang++ -DBOOST_ALL_NO_LIB -DCGAL_USE_GMPXX=1 -O2 -g -DNDEBUG -Wall -Wextra -pedantic -march=native -frounding-math main.cpp -lgmpxx -lmpfr -lgmp
#include <CGAL/Cartesian.h>
#include <CGAL/Min_ellipse_2.h>
#include <CGAL/Min_ellipse_2_traits_2.h>
#include <CGAL/Exact_rational.h>
#include <cassert>
#include <cmath>
#include <fstream>
#include <iostream>
#include <string>
#include <vector>
typedef CGAL::Exact_rational NT;
typedef CGAL::Cartesian<NT> K;
typedef CGAL::Point_2<K> Point;
typedef CGAL::Min_ellipse_2_traits_2<K> Traits;
typedef CGAL::Min_ellipse_2<Traits> Min_ellipse;
struct EllipseCanonicalEquation {
double semimajor; // Length of semi-major axis
double semiminor; // Length of semi-minor axis
double cx; // x-coordinate of center
double cy; // y-coordinate of center
double theta; // Rotation angle
};
std::vector<Point> read_points_from_file(const std::string &filename){
std::vector<Point> ret;
std::ifstream fin(filename);
float x,y;
while(fin>>x>>y){
std::cout<<x<<" "<<y<<std::endl;
ret.emplace_back(x, y);
}
return ret;
}
// Uses "Smallest Enclosing Ellipses -- An Exact and Generic Implementation in C++"
// under the hood.
EllipseCanonicalEquation get_min_area_ellipse_from_points(const std::vector<Point> &pts){
// Compute minimum ellipse using randomization for speed
Min_ellipse me2(pts.data(), pts.data()+pts.size(), true);
std::cout << "done." << std::endl;
// If it's degenerate, the ellipse is a line or a point
assert(!me2.is_degenerate());
// Get coefficients for the equation
// r*x^2 + s*y^2 + t*x*y + u*x + v*y + w = 0
double r, s, t, u, v, w;
me2.ellipse().double_coefficients(r, s, t, u, v, w);
// Convert from CGAL's coefficients to Wikipedia's coefficients
// A*x^2 + B*x*y + C*y^2 + D*x + E*y + F = 0
const double A = r;
const double B = t;
const double C = s;
const double D = u;
const double E = v;
const double F = w;
// Get the canonical form parameters
// Using equations from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ellipse#General_ellipse
const auto a = -std::sqrt(2*(A*E*E+C*D*D-B*D*E+(B*B-4*A*C)*F)*((A+C)+std::sqrt((A-C)*(A-C)+B*B)))/(B*B-4*A*C);
const auto b = -std::sqrt(2*(A*E*E+C*D*D-B*D*E+(B*B-4*A*C)*F)*((A+C)-std::sqrt((A-C)*(A-C)+B*B)))/(B*B-4*A*C);
const auto cx = (2*C*D-B*E)/(B*B-4*A*C);
const auto cy = (2*A*E-B*D)/(B*B-4*A*C);
double theta;
if(B!=0){
theta = std::atan(1/B*(C-A-std::sqrt((A-C)*(A-C)+B*B)));
} else if(A<C){
theta = 0;
} else { //A>C
theta = M_PI;
}
return EllipseCanonicalEquation{a, b, cx, cy, theta};
}
int main(int argc, char** argv){
if(argc!=2){
std::cerr<<"Provide name of input containing a list of x,y points"<<std::endl;
std::cerr<<"Syntax: "<<argv[0]<<" <Filename>"<<std::endl;
return -1;
}
const auto pts = read_points_from_file(argv[1]);
const auto eq = get_min_area_ellipse_from_points(pts);
// Convert canonical equation for rotated ellipse to parametric based on:
// https://math.stackexchange.com/a/2647450/14493
std::cout << "Ellipse has the parametric equation " << std::endl;
std::cout << "x(t) = a*cos(t)*cos(theta) - b*sin(t)*sin(theta) + cx"<<std::endl;
std::cout << "y(t) = a*cos(t)*sin(theta) + b*sin(t)*cos(theta) + cy"<<std::endl;
std::cout << "with" << std::endl;
std::cout << "a = " << eq.semimajor << std::endl;
std::cout << "b = " << eq.semiminor << std::endl;
std::cout << "cx = " << eq.cx << std::endl;
std::cout << "cy = " << eq.cy << std::endl;
std::cout << "theta = " << eq.theta << std::endl;
return 0;
}